How we grade and publish our track record

Every pick is settled by the final result and left on the record — wins and losses alike · 5 min read

A tipping service is only as trustworthy as the record it is willing to show you. It is easy to remember the winners and quietly forget the losers, and plenty do exactly that. Our approach is the opposite: once a pick is published it is locked to the record, and once the match finishes it is graded automatically against the actual result — win or lose, with no edits after the fact. This page explains how that grading works and why we do it the way we do.

A pick is fixed at the moment it's published

When a selection goes out, the details that define it are captured then and there: which outcome we backed, and the price attached to it. That snapshot doesn't move afterwards. It matters because it removes any temptation — or any accident — to reinterpret a pick once you know how the game went. What you saw before kick-off is what gets judged after the whistle.

Settlement is automatic and result-driven

After a match ends, its final score decides the pick. A back-of-the-home-side selection is graded on whether the home side won; a both-teams-to-score selection is graded on whether both teams actually scored. There is no human deciding, after the event, whether a near-miss "should" count — the result settles it, full stop. That keeps the grading consistent and removes the wishful thinking that creeps into hand-marked records.

The honest test of any system is what happens to the picks that lose. Ours stay on the record, graded the same way as the winners. A track record that only shows the good days isn't a track record — it's an advert.

What the numbers actually mean

The headline figure most people look at is the strike rate — the share of picks that won. It is useful, but on its own it can mislead: a high strike rate on very short prices can still lose money, and a lower one on bigger prices can still make it. That is why the record is read alongside the prices the picks were struck at, so you can see not just how often we were right but whether being right at those prices would have been worthwhile. We also let you filter the record by the type of pick, so the strengths and weaknesses of each are visible separately rather than blended into one flattering average.

Why we publish it in full

Transparency isn't a marketing line here — it is the whole point. If the method works it should be able to survive being shown warts and all, over a meaningful run of games rather than a lucky week. Past results never guarantee future ones, and no honest record can promise they will; a good stretch can be followed by a poor one, and variance is real. But an open ledger, settled by results and never quietly trimmed, is the only basis on which a record deserves any trust at all.

You can see the live record on the track record page, and read how the picks are made in the first place in How It Works.

For entertainment and general information only — not betting or financial advice, and no result is guaranteed. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, free confidential help is at BeGambleAware.org.